{"id":19920,"date":"2023-02-05T16:45:08","date_gmt":"2023-02-05T22:45:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/?p=19920"},"modified":"2023-02-05T16:45:08","modified_gmt":"2023-02-05T22:45:08","slug":"2022-2023-week-that-was-seeding-the-state-11","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/?p=19920","title":{"rendered":"2022-2023 Week That Was & Seeding the State #11"},"content":{"rendered":"

GROUND HOG DAY<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

It seems like I was living the life of Phil Connor this week—at least on Monday and Saturday— as I found my way to Rochester. This week should have been named Rochester Week as I charted all four teams. Well\u2026.three and a half actually. Monday featured Mayo at home against Red Wing in a meaningful Big 9 game. The Wingers flew away with that win giving Med City their only loss in the bunch. Saturday was supposed to be a triple header. First off JM at home against Faribault. Neither are in danger of cracking the top 100 at this point, but I figured it would be good to see a half of action. The game was scheduled for 1:30 pm. One half and then off to Lourdes for a 2:30 start against Dover-Eyota. Doable since it is only five minutes away. Nope. The JM JV game went to overtime meaning everything is pushed back. I only got the first 11 minutes charted in that game before I pulled up stakes. It turns out I could have probably stayed. The Lourdes JV game was also close and did not end on time. Meaning the battle of the Eagles was delayed. I got the full Lourdes and full Century games under my belt.<\/p>\n

On Ground Hog Day itself I was 180 degrees opposite Rochester and was at Esko. The home of the Eskomos is the igloo. Appropriate considering the temps outside were -11.<\/p>\n

Three times this week I was anchored to Mahtomedi. But this was a very productive week when it came to the top 100. Mayo, Red Wing, Lourdes, Lakeville South and Rochester Century all were charted. That brings me up to 100% in the top 50—make that top 63. There are eight teams left to cross off. The going this week will not be in the five category. If I can get two teams I will be happy. It looks like Wednesday and Saturday will be fishing in empty waters.<\/p>\n

SOUTH SUBURBAN & METRO EAST COMPLETED<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

Two more conferences were finished up this week with Tartan the last Metro East team to be check listed and Lakeville South the last South Suburban team to be viewed. The South Suburban is one of the power five conferences in the Metro—-our version on the NCAAs listing. The Metro East is in the shadow of the Suburban East and is primarily a AAA conference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Conference<\/strong><\/td>\nw-l<\/strong><\/td>\nPP100<\/strong><\/td>\nBest<\/strong><\/td>\nteam<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Lake<\/td>\n8-3<\/td>\n92.25<\/td>\n117.9<\/td>\nEden Prairie<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Metro East<\/td>\n14-14<\/td>\n85.22<\/td>\n153.6<\/td>\nMahtomedi<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Lake Superior<\/td>\n6-6<\/td>\n82.71<\/td>\n122.7<\/td>\nProctor<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Metro West<\/td>\n4-4<\/td>\n81.96<\/td>\n103.2<\/td>\nChaska<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Suburban East<\/td>\n4-7<\/td>\n78.6<\/td>\n103<\/td>\nRoseville<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
South Suburban<\/td>\n5-6<\/td>\n77.65<\/td>\n111.5<\/td>\nShakopee<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Metro East-no m<\/td>\n1-1<\/td>\n68.20<\/td>\n87.7<\/td>\nHill-Murray<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Metro East-m<\/td>\n1-9<\/td>\n63.58<\/td>\n87.7<\/td>\nHill-Murray<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

So, what to make of this chart. The rank is listed by pp100. Rightly the Lake is on top. Then the Metro East? Let\u2019s dial it back a second and examine it more closely. I chart all the Mahtomedi games. Right now they have yet to lose in the conference. I have only seen two conference teams play outside that regimen. And they split 1-1 with the pp100 probably closer to reality at 68.2. That puts the Metro East at the bottom of the conferences so far. Some of the other conferences have matched up in conference, some non-conference.<\/p>\n

Another item to look at is the \u201cbest\u201d from each conference. The school at the top in each conference looks about right, but\u2026.who are the opponents. Some of the \u201cbests\u201d are against teams with wins you can count on one hand. There really are only two teams on that list that I would consider legit—-Eden Prairie\u2019s mark against a top 10 team East Ridge; and Chaska\u2019s, also against a top 10 team. Who you plays matters. I am sure many teams would get to the 153 Mahtomedi enjoyed against St. Paul Humboldt.<\/p>\n

I think it is important to note that the South Suburban used to be mentioned in the same breath as the Lake Conference. There has been a decline in production from that league. It used to hover near the 90s. Now it is south of 80. There is a widening gap between haves and have nots. This is true even in the same league. This is where the numbers bottom out. The \u201cworst\u201d of the past were not nearly as low as they are today. The best mark in the 31 Club reached 32 and that belongs to Madison McCollum of Eagan in their win over Edina. Rosemount\u2019s Ava Thompson is the only other member. Two for that entire conference. That is probably one reason the overall pp100 is way down.<\/p>\n

SECTION 4AAA COMPLETED<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

Or is it? St. Paul Johnson closed up shop after five losses. I did not chart them. That leaves only six teams in business. They have been charted. This is the first AAA section to be check listed.<\/p>\n

Once more with the Mahtomedi effect—-Most of the action did happen with the Zephyrs as the opponent. When I take out Mahtomedi the pp100 drops 18 on offense it drops to 73.5. When I take the Zephs out of the equation completely the pp100 still drops, but only by 13.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Section<\/strong><\/td>\nw-l<\/strong><\/td>\nPP100<\/strong><\/td>\nBest<\/strong><\/td>\nteam<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2AAAA<\/td>\n7-3<\/td>\n91.6<\/td>\n117.9<\/td>\nEden Prairie<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3AAAA<\/td>\n4-5<\/td>\n74.0<\/td>\n102.8<\/td>\nRosemount<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7AAAA<\/td>\n4-4<\/td>\n74.09<\/td>\n90.2<\/td>\nCambridge-Isanti<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8AAAA<\/td>\n6-3<\/td>\n73.9<\/td>\n98.6<\/td>\nSt. Michael-Albertville<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4AAA all<\/td>\n15-9<\/td>\n91.3<\/td>\n153.6<\/td>\nMahtomedi<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4AAA-m<\/td>\n2-4<\/td>\n73.5<\/td>\n87.7<\/td>\nHill-Murray<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4AAA-no m<\/td>\n2-1<\/td>\n78.9<\/td>\n87.7<\/td>\nHill-Murray<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Again, context matters when looking at the \u201cbest\u201d team. The sections are probably a better representation, however. I think all the AAAAs would be legit. Rosemount\u2019s mark came against Andover, C-I against Bloomington Jefferson, and STMA\u2019s against Bismarck Century. Most have winning marks. None of those three are at the bottom of the barrel.<\/p>\n

There have been eleven entries into the 31 Club from section 4AAA. Eight of those marks belong to four Zephyrs. Two made the 41 Club on different occasions with one to spare (42) Sonya Potthoff and Mya Wilson. Only three others joined the 31 Club. Greta Schumann of St. Anthony had a 32 in the win last Saturday over Two Rivers.<\/p>\n

TEAM REVIEW<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

What goes down must come up. Last week\u2019s 74 improved to 77.84 this week. Winners were up one to 93.81. Losers improved even more by 6.7 to 61.9. You can thank Lakeville South for lifting all those boats with a 93.4, better than three winners on the week. Mahtomedi fired on all cylinders with a 118.1 in the Tuesday win at Tartan. Three other teams were over 100. Three teams could not crack 50—make that 46 in the losses. AAA led the way with 79.5, but wait—if we eliminate three Mahtomedi games in skids down to 59.3. AAAA stayed close to the week\u2019s average with 77.02. AA was behind slightly with 76.57. A, or should I say South Ridge, the only team charted in that class, had a 74. Two of the games were \u201cupsets\u201d in that the lower QRF team won—-Red Wing started the week with that win over Mayo, Century closed with a win over visiting Lakeville South. That was the game of the week as well with the losing team\u2019s pp100 93.4, which makes it the \u201cbest.\u201d It was the only game that went down to the wire as LS rallied from an 11 point deficit with 2:18 left. Closed the margin to 58-57 with about 12 ticks left. Century made the first of two free throws to make it 59-57, but an over and back violation torpedoed the rally with five seconds left. The Panthers added two free throws with two seconds left.<\/p>\n

This game also had two 1000 milestones, both of which were coaches daughters—-the first time two opponents with coaches hit the mark. Opponents getting 1000 has happened nine times in state history. Taylor Clarey of Century was the first to get there at the 17:10 mark of the second half to make it 25-17 Century. Finley Ohnstad made it at 5:20 which closed the gap to 49-39. Both players are juniors. Ohnstad\u2019s parents Angie Iverson (coach) and Mitch both reached 1000. We are checking the records for both parents making the mark along with a daughter.<\/p>\n

WEEK AHEAD<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

The Saturday options are limited this week to only 39. Recent weeks have been over 40. I don\u2019t believe I will be headed down US52 this week. Four of the first five weeks of calendar year 2023 I have made my way down the southeast corner of the state. That won\u2019t happen in the next few.<\/p>\n

31 CLUB<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

We went up one player to six this week in the 31 Club. Flying to the top of the list this week was Red Wing senior Sammi Chandler with a 36 in the take down on the road of Rochester Mayo. She racked up 24 points to get the head start. Five of the players made the century club as well (pp100s of 100 or better). Chandler missed the double\/double being bested by 17 points. That top spot went to Rochester Lourdes senior Vivica Bretton with a 177. The Esko vs. South Ridge game was the only one with multiple players making the club. In this case one from each team.<\/p>\n

UNBEATEN<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

The two remaining unbeatens stayed that way in week 10. This week has a mega game on Feb 6 BLHS faces subsection 2A North behemoth Mayer Lutheran on the road. They close the week on the road at the #1 team in the 2A South subsection Sleepy Eye St. Mary\u2019s. NLS travels to Sauk Centre on Saturday afternoon.<\/p>\n

AAAA 0: none
\nAAA 0: none
\nAA 1: New London-Spicer
\nA 1: Buffalo Lake-Hector-Stewart<\/p>\n

STREAKING<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

Change at AAAA with Chaska replacing Rochester Mayo who held the top spot until the loss Monday to Red Wing. We are also closing in on the 20s. The three non-AAAA classes are poised for that mark this week.<\/p>\n

AAAA: 14 Chaska
\nAAA: 19 Grand Rapids
\nAA: 19 New London-Spicer
\nA: 19 Henning<\/p>\n

SEARCH FOR 100<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

Eight teams to go for 100. Three regular season weeks. The needed number is 2.7 per week. \u00a0Grading out I am A+ in 10, 25, 50. A in 75, 100; B in 125; C in 150; D in 175, 200, 225.<\/p>\n

Looking at the top 10s I am at 100% in AAAA, AAA; AA; only 40% in A. Getting to 100 involved the Roch trips Monday and Saturday.<\/p>\n

Looking at the \u201cseeding the state\u201d 100% in AAAA & AAA; 87.5% in AA; 37.5% in A<\/p>\n

The #1s (according to QRF) in each section is 100% in AAAA & AAA; 70% in AA; only 23.1% in A. Guess where most of my remaining time will be spent during sections.<\/p>\n

We are at a final four in the 64 AAAA quest—or 93.8%.<\/p>\n

My Rochester week eliminated several big fishes. Now we move from the southeast corner to the southwest corner with Luverne the newest biggest fish at #64.<\/p>\n

Measure\/In\/%\/Improvement
\n<\/strong>1-10\/10\/100%\/-
\n1-25\/25\/100%\/+8
\n1-50\/50\/100%\/+6
\n1-75\/64\/96%\/+8
\n1-100\/82\/92%\/+6
\n1-125\/106\/84.8%\/+7.2
\n1-150\/117\/78%\/+6.7
\n1-175\/120\/68.6%\/+3.5
\n1-200\/129\/64.5%\/+5.5
\n1-225\/135\/60%\/+4.6
\n1-250\/140\/56%\/+4.4
\n1-275\/142\/51.6%\/+4.0
\n1-300\/143\/47.7%\/—<\/p>\n

SEEDING THE STATE<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

Some reshuffling of the deck chairs. One new addition in A—Badger-Greenbush-Middle River.<\/p>\n

AAAA<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Hopkins (6)<\/li>\n
  2. Chaska (2)<\/li>\n
  3. Michael-Albertville (8)<\/li>\n
  4. East Ridge (4)<\/li>\n
  5. Maple Grove (5)<\/li>\n
  6. Rosemount (3)<\/li>\n
  7. Lakeville North (1)<\/li>\n
  8. Centennial (7)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    AAA<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \n
    1. Benilde-St. Margaret\u2019s (6)<\/li>\n
    2. Becker (5)<\/li>\n
    3. Grand Rapids (7)<\/li>\n
    4. Stewartville (1)<\/li>\n
    5. DeLaSalle (3)<\/li>\n
    6. Jordan (2)<\/li>\n
    7. Alexandria (8)<\/li>\n
    8. Mahtomedi (4)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      AA<\/strong><\/p>\n

        \n
      1. Providence (5)<\/li>\n
      2. Albany (6)<\/li>\n
      3. New London-Spicer (3)<\/li>\n
      4. Goodhue (1)<\/li>\n
      5. Minnehaha (4)<\/li>\n
      6. Pequot Lakes (7)<\/li>\n
      7. Perham (8)<\/li>\n
      8. Lake Crystal-Wellcome Memorial (2)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

        A<\/strong><\/p>\n

          \n
        1. Mountain Iron-Buhl (7)<\/li>\n
        2. Buffalo Lake-Hector-Stewart (2)<\/li>\n
        3. Henning (6)<\/li>\n
        4. Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa (5)<\/li>\n
        5. Hayfield (1)<\/li>\n
        6. Badger-Greenbush-Middle River (8)<\/li>\n
        7. Lac qui Parle Valley (3)<\/li>\n
        8. Heritage Christian (4)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

          GROUND HOG DAY It seems like I was living the life of Phil Connor this week—at least<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[10,7,139,161],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p8CdKT-5bi","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":12191,"url":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/?p=12191","url_meta":{"origin":19920,"position":0},"title":"GBB Out & About: Rochester JM v Mankato West","date":"January 4, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"ROCHESTER JOHN MARSHALL 68, MANKATO WEST 59 Rochester John Marshall picked up a key road win in the Big 9 conference race, and their finishing kick left host #9AAA Mankato West in the dust 68-59. Both teams lost games last week. In the Rochester tournament JM was knocked off the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "GBB: Out & About"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":20326,"url":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/?p=20326","url_meta":{"origin":19920,"position":1},"title":"MN GBB: 2023-24 The Week That Was #4 Plus Seeding the State","date":"December 17, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"For the week: seven games, 14 new teams (no duplicates), 160 players, 317.9 miles For the season: 44 games, 84 teams (4 duplicates), 878 players, 1731.4 miles. The Northwest Suburban conference led with three teams checked off: Coon Rapids, Blaine, and Osseo. There were city teams, privates, and even a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "GBB: Minnesota"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":19455,"url":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/?p=19455","url_meta":{"origin":19920,"position":2},"title":"GBB 2022 Week That Was 12, Plus Seeding the State","date":"February 13, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"There was a touch of nostalgia and old connections sprinkled in with current realities this week. Wednesday, I got to chart Coach Taylor and his new squad at St. Paul Academy; Friday, I returned to my student coaching site (back then with the boys) and my residence for ten years\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "GBB: Minnesota"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14100,"url":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/?p=14100","url_meta":{"origin":19920,"position":3},"title":"Club GBB: The HS Crystal Ball Says:","date":"May 8, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"WHO IS WHO Here is the high school roster analysis of the top three grades (current 9-11) from the seeding games last Sunday at Kennedy.\u00a0 Only schools with\u00a0 more than one player is listed. The more things change\u2026..the more they stay the same. Big schools rule. You can expect to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "GBB: Club"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18813,"url":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/?p=18813","url_meta":{"origin":19920,"position":4},"title":"MN GBB: Saturday Results 1.30.2021","date":"January 30, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"AAAA #12 St. Michael-Albertville 70, Moorhead 30 #7AAA Mankato West 52, #18 Rochester JM 32 AAA #7 Mankato West 52, #18AAAA Rochester JM 32","rel":"","context":"In "GBB: Minnesota"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4517,"url":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/?p=4517","url_meta":{"origin":19920,"position":5},"title":"GBB Out & About: 5 HVL v TRC +1 from Rochester","date":"December 17, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"5 HVL V 3R GAMES +1 MORE Another Saturday, another mega-event. After three weekends in the metro with mega-events, (St. Thomas Thanksgiving, Breakdown Hopkins; Breakdown Minnetonka) I headed south to Rochester for another multiple game extravaganza. This time the action was between two conferences---the Hiawatha Valley League vs the Three\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "GBB: Out & About"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19920"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19920"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19920\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19921,"href":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19920\/revisions\/19921"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19920"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19920"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kjasr.com\/live\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19920"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}