2019-20 Week That Was, Seeding the State, Superlatives Weeks 10

In one day (Monday) I equaled the totals of Week 9—-five events. Add in five more dates and five more games & I have a perfect 10 games for week 10.

The week was far from a “Bo Derek.” There were four running time games; two others in the 20+ category. Only two games were one possession games, the kind that make a writer examine the nuances of decisions, body language and competitive fire that creates drama. Why does a team prevail? Why does a team fail?

Pace is a big factor in games. Teams can go fast, press, helter-skelter or slow, deliberate, measured. It is the age old battle of the tortoise and the hare. Possession counts went from a high of 79 to a low of 52 this week. The average for the week was 69.5.

  FAST AVERAGE SLOW EXTREME
  71+ 61-70 61-53 52-
GAMES 5 2 2 1
PP100 82.22 82.17 71.62 68.27
2FGATT 45.2 34.25 28.00 30.50
2FG% 41.59 40.15 33.93 31.15
3FGATT 17.4 20.25 18.75 18.50
3FGM 4.4 6.5 4.75 4.5
3FT% 25.29 32.10 25.33 24.32

So a fast paced game does not necessarily mean more 3s. It means more attacks at the rim. The faster the pace, the better skilled offensively the players. These are averages from the 10 games this week. Keep in mind a team may be forced to play fast when they would prefer the slower paced. The numbers indicate a severe drop from fast to extremely slow in pp100, field goal %, but not 3FG%.

3 COMPARISIONS

Finally!! I have completed two conferences and one section. With Bloomington Jefferson (Metro West); Monticello (Mississippi 8) and Hibbing (7AAA), I completed the set. This is a departure from normal with usually the Lake, South Suburban and a AAAA conference wrapped up.

  METRO WEST MISSISSIPPI 8 7AAA
# SCHOOLS 7 (5/2) 8 (1/7) 7
W 5 5 3
L 5 5 5
PP100 80.37 77.02 62.87
HIGH 110.6 101.6 101.6
LOW 55.7 54.9 28.8
31 Club 6 6 4

The Metro West tops all three. Perhaps this is because they have five AAAA schools to the one (Cambridge-Isanti) in the AAA heavy Mississippi 8 now that Buffalo, Rogers and St. Michael-Albertville left. The difference between the MW and the M8 is slight—about four points, but the gap between the M8 (again a heavy AAA conference) and 7AAA is huge—-about 14 points. Three of the M8 teams are also part of the 7AAA landscape. Subtracting the M8 influence the 7AAA numbers plummet even lower to 51.32. The three M8 contributors, by themselves in 7AAA are at 82.27, better than any of the three totals above.

Who is next? There are still some missing pieces to the puzzle here and there. With mega conferences the task becomes more complex. It looks like week 11 will get the required teams crossed off any list. But February should start to see more fall. And when they do it will be rapid.

QUEST FOR 100

20 teams to go. February and March to go. A possible 24 dates. Add in postseason possibilities and the weeks increase to seven, the dates 42. The lack of multiple games on Saturday was disappointing, but I suppose we traded Monday for Saturday with five games charted.  The algorithm going forward is: 1. Top QRF team left available—-specifically AAAA. Why? AAAA sections are all on Wednesday February 26th except for 8AAAA which goes on Thursday the 27th.  I won’t have opportunities to see any of these teams after that date. 2. If there are no top 100 teams, then the top two remaining—say #127 plays #327 and #135 plays #148 I will go to the double 100 game and avoid the 300 match up.

Level Seen %
1-10 10 100.00
1-25 24 96.00
1-50 42 84.00
1-75 63 84.00
1-100 80 80.00
1-125 93 74.40
1-150 103 68.67
1-175 110 62.9

SEEDING THE STATE

The waters were roiled in 3AAAA on Friday night. Lakeville North appears to be healthy and ready to go.

AAAA

1 Hopkins #6
2 Farmington #1
3 St. Michael-Albertville #8
4 Centennial #5
5 Chaska #2
6 Stillwater #4
7 Lakeville North #3
8 Andover #7

AAA

1 DeLaSalle #4
2 Becker #5
3 Marshall #2
4 Simley #3
5 Holy Angels #6
6 Austin #1
7 Alexandria #8
8 Hermantown #7

AA

1 Sauk Centre #6
2 Fergus Falls #8
3 Rochester Lourdes #1
4 New London-Spicer #3
5 Minnehaha #4
6 Waseca #2
7 Providence #5
8 Proctor #7

A

1 Cromwell-Wright #7
2 Minneota #3
3 Waterville-Elysian-Morristown #2
4 Mayer Lutheran #4
5 Walker-Hackensack-Akeley #5
6 Henning #6
7 Blooming Prairie #1
8 Warren-Alvarado-Oslo #8

UNBEATENS

A trio remain.

AAAA: 1: Hopkins
AAA: 1: Marshall
AA: 1: Pelican Rapids
A: 0

STREAKING

With Waterville-Elysian-Morristown’s loss on Monday that opens up a new leader in A—–Walker-Hackensack-Akeley. Pelican Rapids is alone at the top of the heap in AA with Goodhue’s loss to Rochester Lourdes on Friday.

AAAA: 49 Hopkins (32+17)
AAA 16: Marshall
AA 17: Pelican Rapids
A 12: Walker-Hackensack-Akeley

NUMBERS

It was a return to the 70’s this week. The pp100 dipped to 79.13, down 2.55 from last week’s number and stopping a five week 80’s streak. The margin slightly, ever so slightly, improved downward, about 5.

The best game, as measured by pp100 was Friday’s 96. That game was running time so the margin between the two teams (Stillwater/Woodbury) was not compelling. The most compelling, down to the wire, last possession type game was on Saturday at Willmar. But that game’s pp100 was the lowest total for the week with a 60.91 mark, not an artistic must see.

AAAA dropped for the week, down 3. AAA did improve by 5, but what is it about AAA? They are mired in the 50s. Can they ever escape? AA ruled with two teams over the century mark.

Week 10 W L PP100
Overall 10 10 79.13
W 10 0 98.51
L 0 10 59.97
Margin 10 10 38.54
Monday 5 5 73.84
Tuesday 1 1 95.11
Wednesday 1 1 90.24
Thursday 1 1 76.39
Friday 1 1 96.00
Saturday 1 1 60.91
AAAA 7 4 88.63
AAA 1 5 56.71
AA 2 0 114.50
A 0 1 34.62

HIGH: 120.0 Stillwater v Woodbury
BEST DPP100: 28.8 Waseca v Hibbing

Week 1 88.4
Week 2 82.1
Week 3 75.27
Week 4 75.9
Week 5 83.79
Week 6 83.50
Week 7 83.94
Week 8 81.39
Week 9 81.68
Week 10 79.13

31 CLUB

With a healthy amount of games, we had a healthy amount of 31 Clubers. After two weeks of single digit entries we got to a dozen.  Stillwater accounted for five of that dozen, with Liza Karlen getting on twice. Holdingford was the only other school with multiple entries, with Grace and Kendra Gerads getting it done in only one half of action. It also should be pointed out Gus Boyer of Waseca made her second appearance on the list in three chartings.

31 CLUB Week 9 12
GRAD CLASS 2020 4
2021 4
2022 4
2023 0
HS CLASS AAAA 9
AAA 0
AA 3
W 11
L 1

HIGH: Alexis Pratt of Stillwater with a high total with 43. But Grace Gerads of Holdingford got to 40 in only 18 minutes of action. She never saw the floor in the second half win over Ogilvie. Double that and she would have had an eye popping 80.

WEEK 1: 26
WEEK 2: 20
WEEK 3: 18
WEEK 4: 6
WEEK 5: 9
WEEK 6: 13
WEEK 7: 16
WEEK 8: 8
WEEK 9: 3
WEEK 10: 12

 

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